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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
34.94% | 28.38% | 36.68% |
Both teams to score 46.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.33% | 59.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.02% | 79.98% |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% | 32.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.24% | 68.76% |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% | 31.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% | 67.48% |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 11.72% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 |
9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 |
12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 |
14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |