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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
40.72% | 28.09% | 31.19% |
Both teams to score 46.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.81% | 59.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.39% | 79.62% |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% | 28.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% | 64.3% |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.39% | 34.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.67% | 71.33% |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.22% Total : 31.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 63 |
2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 |
24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 |
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