Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.