Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 26.6% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.26%).
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
49.42% ( 0.57) | 23.97% ( -0.16) | 26.6% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.93% ( 0.4) | 45.07% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.58% ( 0.39) | 67.41% ( -0.39) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( 0.38) | 18.32% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.59% ( 0.65) | 49.41% ( -0.65) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( -0.1) | 30.65% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -0.12) | 66.9% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.42% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
4 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
5 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
11 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
12 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
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