Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
46.18% ( -0.46) | 24.24% ( -0.04) | 29.58% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% ( 0.45) | 44.33% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.3% ( 0.44) | 66.7% ( -0.44) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.66% ( -0.01) | 19.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.89% ( -0.02) | 51.11% ( 0.02) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 0.57) | 28.12% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% ( 0.71) | 63.8% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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