Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.61% ( -0.27) | 25.26% ( 0.28) | 42.13% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.99% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% ( -1.31) | 47.58% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( -1.22) | 69.78% ( 1.22) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.81) | 27.75% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% ( -1.05) | 63.32% ( 1.04) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% ( -0.57) | 22.5% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( -0.86) | 56.07% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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