Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
33.77% | 25.15% | 41.09% |
Both teams to score 56.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.24% | 46.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.98% | 69.02% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% | 26.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% | 61.87% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% | 22.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% | 56.3% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 42 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 27 |
12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 |
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