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Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at CNG Stadium
League Two | Gameweek 21
Harrogate
1 - 1
Northampton
Armstrong (50')
Olaigbe (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (49')
Yengi (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Northampton Town

Nobody will argue against the fact that Northampton come into the game stronger on paper; their league form more than supports such an idea, and the consistency and confidence of Brady's coaching has given much hope to the Cobblers' dreams of promotion. However, coming up against an inspired Harrogate team bountiful with goals in recent weeks may prove a challenge too difficult to overcome away from home. An even, competitive match full of risk-taking and high-pace counter-attacks will see a score draw at Wetherby Road this weekend, and expect goals from the in-form Luke Armstrong and Sam Hoskins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
24.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 50.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)51.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.019000000000002 0.02)73.56% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 24.69%
    Northampton Town 50.1%
    Draw 25.2%
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.69%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.1%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Northampton

Harrogate Town
21.7%
Draw
17.4%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
1-2
Northampton
Diamond (24')
Burrell (51')
Horsfall (7'), Guthrie (49')
McGowan (55'), Rose (69'), Sowerby (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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