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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
43.89% ( -0.04) | 26.24% ( 0.01) | 29.87% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.28% ( -0.04) | 52.71% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% ( -0.03) | 74.35% ( 0.03) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.04) | 23.88% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( -0.05) | 58.08% ( 0.05) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.8% | 32.2% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.32% ( 0) | 68.68% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 |
9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 |
12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 |
14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 |
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