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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stevenage |
28.76% ( 0.33) | 25.63% ( 0.16) | 45.61% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -0.47) | 50.75% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.41) | 72.65% ( 0.41) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( 0) | 31.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.55% ( 0) | 68.45% ( -0) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( -0.42) | 22.23% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( -0.63) | 55.66% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Walsall | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 37 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 33 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 21 |
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