Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 86.83%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.82%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
86.83% ( 0) | 8.66% | 4.5% |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.42% ( 0) | 20.57% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
61.09% ( 0.01) | 38.91% ( -0.01) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.9% ( 0) | 3.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.15% ( 0) | 13.85% ( -0) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.16% ( 0.01) | 46.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.64% ( 0) | 82.36% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
3-0 @ 10.14% 4-0 @ 8.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-1 @ 6.68% 2-1 @ 6.64% 5-0 @ 6.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 4.65% ( 0) 6-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.54% 5-2 @ 1.76% 7-0 @ 1.76% 7-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.73% Total : 86.83% | 1-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.52% 0-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.87% Total : 8.66% | 1-2 @ 1.45% 0-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.96% Total : 4.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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