Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.