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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu
Hatayspor
0 - 0
Gaziantep

Faruk Beyaz (51'), Kilama (63'), Dadasov (75')
FT
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 2-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 6 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Gaziantep

All competitions
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Pendikspor
Friday, January 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Gaziantep

 While the last five meetings between Hatayspor and Gaziantep have produced a combined 18 goals, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Mersin Stadium on Wednesday. Despite their recent struggles, Hatayspor have lost just two home games since January 2023 and we predict that they will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HataysporDrawGaziantep
48.84% (0.736 0.74) 24.89% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-0.395 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-0.247 -0.25)49.27% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.223 -0.22)71.32% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.21000000000001 0.21)20.2% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (0.333 0.33)52.51% (-0.331 -0.33)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.67099999999999 -0.67)33.14% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.747 -0.75)69.74% (0.74799999999999 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.84%
    Gaziantep 26.27%
    Draw 24.88%
HataysporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Gaziantep

Hatayspor
44.4%
Draw
16.7%
Gaziantep
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Gaziantep
4-1
Hatayspor
Jevtovic (38'), Markovic (56', 77'), Merkel (88')
El Kaabi (27')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Hatayspor
1-2
Gaziantep
El Kaabi (31')
Vranjes (58'), Corekci (59')
Figueiredo (7'), Jevtovic (49')
Maxim (34'), Markovic (51'), Jevtovic (82')
Mar 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Gaziantep
2-2
Hatayspor
Maxim (5', 79')
Soyalp (15')
Caulker (20' og.), El Kaabi (30')
Ergun (40'), Adekugbe (73')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Hatayspor
2-1
Gaziantep
Biram Diouf (52' pen.), Kamara (73')
Biram Diouf (39'), Ribeiro (57')
Sagal (82')
Demir (39'), Caulker (51'), Erdogan (67'), Maxim (67'), Ozer (90+6')
> Preview
May 15, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 42
Hatayspor
0-1
Gaziantep

Abdioglu (45+1')
Jefferson (73')
Kozulj (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Fenerbahce20172157164153
2GalatasarayGalatasaray19153136102648
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor20114535221337
4BesiktasBesiktas2011273326735
5Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor209562527-232
6Adana Demirspor207853325829
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor207852520529
8KayserisporKayserispor198562627-129
9Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul207582524126
10KasimpasaKasimpasa207583340-726
11SivassporSivasspor206772431-725
12AnkaragucuAnkaragucu205962625124
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor205782129-822
14Hatayspor204972627-121
15Samsunspor2063112331-821
16GaziantepGaziantep2063112230-821
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk2055102223-120
18KonyasporKonyaspor204791932-1319
19Pendikspor2037102143-2216
20Istanbulspor2024141438-247
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table
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