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Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Crawley Town
Peterborough
P-P
Crawley
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Crawley Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 2-4 Crawley
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Crawley Town

 With both teams likely showing ambition to reach Wembley now that they have reached this stage, we expect full-strength sides to be named. However, that will only benefit Peterborough, who we think will record a relatively comfortable win on home territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (5%).

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCrawley Town
62.03% (0.284 0.28) 19.06% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 18.91% (-0.194 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.77% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.93% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.53% (0.126 0.13)52.47% (-0.124 -0.12)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)9.73% (-0.097099999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6% (0.229 0.23)32.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)29.36% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (-0.148 -0.15)65.34% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 62.03%
    Crawley Town 18.91%
    Draw 19.06%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.38% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.3% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 62.03%
1-1 @ 8.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 5% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 18.91%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Crawley

Peterborough United
76.2%
Draw
9.5%
Crawley Town
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Crawley
Washington (2'), Maddison (49')
Bostwick (19'), Zakuani (33'), Maddison (63')

Young (18'), Van Den Bogaert (27'), Harrold (82'), Bradley (89')
> Match Report
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Peterborough
4-3
Crawley
Washington (43', 90'), Bostwick (51', 87')
Elliott (29'), Pogba (57'), Simpson (66')
Tomlin (95')
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-4
Peterborough
McLeod (2')
Keane (64'), Harrold (82')
Smith (11'), Burgess (40'), Maddison (55'), Washington (58')
Bostwick (14'), Newell (81')
> Match Report
Mar 1, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-0
Peterborough
Tubbs (86' pen.)
Sadler (42'), Tubbs (86')

Bostwick (10'), Baldwin (84')
Aug 31, 2013 3pm
Peterborough
0-2
Crawley

McCann (5')
Alexander (22', 65')
McFadzean (0'), Jones (31'), Bulman (33'), Jones (88'), Walsh (90')
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