Sevilla 2-3 Alaves - La Liga - January 12, 2024 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 3

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Mir (70'), Ocampos (82' pen.)
Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tenaglia (26'), Kike (40'), Duarte (90')
Marin (23'), Benavidez (81'), Garcia (90+2'), Kike (90+1')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-2 Sevilla
Sunday, January 7 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla desperately need a win, but their home record has been poor this season, picking up just 10 points from 10 matches. Alaves have struggled on their travels, though, collecting only four points from 10 games, and we are backing the hosts to secure what would be a huge three points on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Alaves
46.78% ( -0.62)	27.42% ( -0.05)	25.79% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 45.59% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81% (

0.56)

59.18% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39% (

0.43)

79.61% (

-0.44)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

-0.05)

25.34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

-0.06)

60.13% (

0.06)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06% (

0.91)

38.94% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.33% (

0.85)

75.66% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 46.77%

Alaves 25.79%

Draw 27.42%

Sevilla	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Alaves

Sevilla

74.2%

Draw

17.5%

Alaves

8.2%

Head to Head

Aug 21, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 2

4-3

Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')

Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')

Jan 17, 2023 8pm

Round of 16

0-1

Rakitic (48')

Mar 4, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 27

0-0

Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')

Jordan (12')

Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm

Gameweek 14

2-2

Ocampos (38'), Rakitic (90+2')
Ocampos (45+6'), Mir (60'), Lopetegui (90+5'), Fernando (90+5'), Rakitic (90+5')

Laguardia (5'), Joselu (45+7' pen.)
N'Diaye (45'), Duarte (50'), Mendez (73'), Lejeune (89')

May 23, 2021 8pm

Gameweek 38

1-0

Papu (90+2')
Vidal (29'), Lopetegui (85')