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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Dec 23, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Sevilla logo
Atletico
1 - 0
Sevilla
Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-3 Getafe
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Sevilla

Atletico will be in a good place following their huge win over Rayo last time out, but the same cannot be said for a struggling Sevilla outfit. The visitors have the quality to secure a positive result, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home success on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
57.39% (-5.29 -5.29) 22.02% (1.593 1.59) 20.59% (3.698 3.7)
Both teams to score 55.89% (1.458 1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.35% (-1.378 -1.38)42.65% (1.378 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.95% (-1.386 -1.39)65.05% (1.385 1.39)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37% (-2.04 -2.04)14.63% (2.039 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.25% (-4.072 -4.07)42.75% (4.072 4.07)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (3.195 3.2)34.54% (-3.194 -3.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75% (3.252 3.25)71.25% (-3.252 -3.25)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 57.39%
    Sevilla 20.59%
    Draw 22.01%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.866 -0.87)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-1.066 -1.07)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.503 -0.5)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.777 -0.78)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.3 -0.3)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.408 -0.41)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 57.39%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.726 0.73)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.303 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.813 0.81)
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.742 0.74)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.599 0.6)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.426 0.43)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.295 0.3)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.279 0.28)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Sevilla
6.7%
105
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 3am
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
1-1
Atletico
Mir (66')
Jordan (57')
Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
Atletico
6-1
Sevilla
Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
En-Nesyri (39')
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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