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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Sevilla logo
Atletico
1 - 1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Sevilla

Sevilla only need a point on Sunday to ensure that they claim a top-four spot, and we are expecting the visitors to pick up the result that they require. Lopetegui's side have only lost three times on their travels this season, sharing the points on nine occasions, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
51.47% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 26.08% (0.041 0.04) 22.44% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.121 -0.12)56.96% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)77.86% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)22.22% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.128 -0.13)55.63% (0.125 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)40.82% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.39% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 51.47%
    Sevilla 22.44%
    Draw 26.08%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.44%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid
62.8%
Draw
26.9%
Sevilla
10.3%
78
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
Nov 2, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid440082612
2GironaGirona431072510
3Barcelona431084410
4Atletico MadridAtletico321010197
5Athletic Bilbao42116427
6CadizCadiz42115417
7Real BetisBetis42115507
8Real Sociedad41307526
9AlavesAlaves42025506
10Osasuna42025506
11Valencia42024406
12Rayo Vallecano420248-46
13Celta Vigo411246-24
14Getafe411225-34
15Villarreal410369-33
16Granada4103712-53
17Mallorca402235-22
18Las PalmasLas Palmas402213-22
19Almeria401349-51
20Sevilla300358-30

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