Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
38.86% | 26.56% | 34.58% |
Both teams to score 52.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.29% | 52.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% | 74.35% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% | 61.69% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% | 29.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% | 64.92% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 7 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Real Madrid | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 17 | 29 | 51 |
3 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 43 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 38 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 34 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Villarreal | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 31 |
10 | Osasuna | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
11 | GironaGirona | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
13 | Espanyol | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 24 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 24 |
16 | Almeria | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 22 |
17 | CadizCadiz | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 22 |
18 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 20 |
19 | Getafe | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
20 | ElcheElche | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 9 |
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