Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Espanyol |
38.91% ( 0.29) | 28.19% ( 0.04) | 32.9% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.79% ( -0.21) | 59.21% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.37% ( -0.16) | 79.63% ( 0.17) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% ( 0.07) | 29.57% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% ( 0.08) | 65.6% ( -0.08) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( -0.34) | 33.41% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.97% ( -0.37) | 70.04% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |