Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
27.81% ( 1.33) | 28.31% ( 0.2) | 43.88% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 44.6% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.88% ( -0.03) | 61.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.91% ( -0.02) | 81.08% ( 0.02) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% ( 1.11) | 38.3% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( 1.05) | 75.05% ( -1.05) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( -0.81) | 27.71% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( -1.05) | 63.28% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.74% Total : 43.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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