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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Alaves logo
Atletico
4 - 1
Alaves
Felix (11', 82'), Suarez (75' pen., 90')
Llorente (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Escalante (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves

Atletico's recent form has been extremely impressive, and we are fully expecting them to put another victory on the board this weekend. Alaves beat the capital giants earlier this season, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result at Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 7.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
76.07%16.05%7.89%
Both teams to score 40.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4%44.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03%66.97%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03%9.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.05%32.95%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.78%55.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.99%88.01%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 76.05%
    Alaves 7.89%
    Draw 16.05%
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 14.63%
1-0 @ 12.69%
3-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 6.49%
4-1 @ 3.85%
5-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 76.05%
1-1 @ 7.54%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.05%
0-1 @ 3.27%
1-2 @ 2.24%
0-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 7.89%

How you voted: Atletico vs Alaves

Atletico Madrid
90.8%
Draw
6.1%
Alaves
3.1%
98
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 1pm
Alaves
1-0
Atletico
Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Alaves
Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
Alaves
1-2
Atletico
Felipe (84' og.)
Laguardia (63')
Llorente (41'), Suarez (90')
Carrasco (29'), Suarez (90+3')
Jun 27, 2020 9pm
Oct 29, 2019 6pm
Alaves
1-1
Atletico
Perez (83')
Wakaso (29'), Laguardia (61'), Garcia (89')
Morata (70')
Llorente (16'), Felipe (75'), Hermoso (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid119112381528
2GironaGirona1191125131228
3Barcelona1173123121124
4Atletico MadridAtletico97112381522
5Real Sociedad105321812618
6Athletic Bilbao105231610617
7Rayo Vallecano104421213-116
8Valencia104241211114
9Real BetisBetis103521214-214
10Las PalmasLas Palmas11425810-214
11Osasuna104151114-313
12Getafe112631316-312
13Sevilla102441615110
14CadizCadiz112451016-610
15Villarreal102351216-49
16Mallorca111641216-49
17AlavesAlaves10235814-69
18Celta Vigo111371019-96
19Granada101361525-106
20Almeria110381431-173

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