Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 7.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
76.07% | 16.05% | 7.89% |
Both teams to score 40.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.4% | 44.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.03% | 66.97% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.03% | 9.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.05% | 32.95% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.78% | 55.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.99% | 88.01% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 14.63% 1-0 @ 12.69% 3-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 6.68% 4-0 @ 6.49% 4-1 @ 3.85% 5-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.78% 6-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.74% Total : 76.05% | 1-1 @ 7.54% 0-0 @ 5.5% 2-2 @ 2.58% Other @ 0.43% Total : 16.05% | 0-1 @ 3.27% 1-2 @ 2.24% 0-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.41% Total : 7.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 28 |
2 | GironaGirona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Barcelona | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 22 |
5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
8 | Valencia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
10 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 14 |
11 | Osasuna | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Getafe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
13 | Sevilla | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
15 | Villarreal | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Mallorca | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
18 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
19 | Granada | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 6 |
20 | Almeria | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 3 |
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