The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Alaves 2-2 Valencia
Valencia are unbeaten against Alaves in La Liga since January 2019, but three of the last four league meetings between the two sides have finished level. Last season's contest at Estadio de Mendizorroza finished 2-2, and we are backing the same scoreline to occur on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
| 27.1% | 28.52% | 44.37% |
| Both teams to score 43.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
