Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
24.06% | 27.65% | 48.28% |
Both teams to score 43.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% | 61.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.98% | 81.02% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.42% | 41.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.93% | 78.06% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% | 25.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% | 60.28% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.19% Total : 24.06% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 14.47% 0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-3 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.07% Total : 48.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | GironaGirona | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 49 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 48 |
3 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 38 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 32 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 31 |
8 | Valencia | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 28 |
10 | Getafe | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Mallorca | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Villarreal | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 19 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Sevilla | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 16 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 15 |
19 | Granada | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 11 |
20 | Almeria | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 6 |
> La Liga Full Table |