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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Sevilla logo
Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

This is a very tough match for Sevilla off the back of a European fixture, and we are struggling to back the visitors to triumph this weekend. Athletic have drawn nine of their 16 league matches this season, losing just three times, and we are predicting another stalemate for the Basque outfit here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
27.07%27.45%45.48%
Both teams to score 46.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.45%58.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88%79.12%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.27%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3%25.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38%60.61%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 27.07%
    Sevilla 45.48%
    Draw 27.45%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 13.09%
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-3 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.37%
1-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.48%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
26.6%
Draw
27.5%
Sevilla
45.9%
109
Head to Head
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
Jul 9, 2020 9pm
Jan 3, 2020 8pm
gameweek 19
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Nunez (60' og.)
Carrico (31'), Ocampos (77')
Capa (15')
Capa (71'), Lopez (84'), Nunez (85'), Martinez (87')
May 18, 2019 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ben Yedder (44'), El Haddadi (90')
Rog (36'), Gnagnon (60'), Navas (60'), Mercado (65')

Garcia (19'), Garcia (29')
Content continues below the video

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona31244355114476
2Real Madrid31205665283765
3Atletico MadridAtletico31196650232763
4Real Sociedad31167839291055
5Villarreal311551143321150
6Real BetisBetis31147103933649
7Athletic Bilbao311371142311146
8Osasuna31128112932-344
9Rayo Vallecano311110103837143
10GironaGirona31118124845341
11Sevilla31118123845-741
12Mallorca31117133034-440
13Celta Vigo31109123742-539
14Real ValladolidValladolid31105162750-2335
15Almeria3196163853-1533
16Valencia3196163437-333
17CadizCadiz31711132343-2032
18Getafe31710142941-1231
19Espanyol31610153753-1628
20ElcheElche3127222062-4213

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