The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 29.43% | 26.79% | 43.79% |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
