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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Southampton logo
Man City
4 - 0
Southampton
Cancelo (20'), Foden (32'), Mahrez (49'), Braut Haaland (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Southampton on Saturday.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Manchester City 4-0 Southampton

Man City may have struggled to breach Southampton's backline the last time that they locked horns on home soil, but the Citizens now possess a goal-hungry striker in the form of Haaland who is showing no signs of slowing down. With Guardiola set to name a stronger side to the one selected in midweek, we expect the reigning champions to ease to victory against the Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
81.83% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 11.24% (0.02 0.02) 6.93% (0.0069000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.88% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.81% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)23.19% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.49% (-0.129 -0.13)42.51% (0.127 0.13)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.79% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)4.21% (0.021 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.45% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)17.55% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)41.66% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)78.14% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 81.83%
    Southampton 6.93%
    Draw 11.24%
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 8.14%
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 2.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
7-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 81.83%
1-1 @ 4.87% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 11.24%
1-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 6.93%

How you voted: Man City vs Southampton

Manchester City
86.4%
Draw
7.0%
Southampton
6.6%
257
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-4
Man City
Laporte (45+2' og.)
Sterling (12'), De Bruyne (62' pen.), Foden (75'), Mahrez (78')
Steffen (71')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Man City
5-2
Southampton
De Bruyne (15', 59'), Mahrez (40', 55'), Gundogan (45+3')
Fernandinho (82')
Ward-Prowse (25' pen.), Adams (56')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Man City 2023-24 kit with 'DJ Grealo'
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
2Arsenal38266688434584
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725

Man City 2023-24 kit with 'DJ Grealo'
Real Madrid Until The End
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