Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Everton | 6 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Aston Villa | 6 | -5 | 4 |
18 | West Ham United | 6 | -5 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Southampton | 6 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 6 | -13 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Southampton |
40.48% ( -0.21) | 26.29% ( 0.05) | 33.22% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.17% ( -0.15) | 51.83% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.41% ( -0.13) | 73.58% ( 0.13) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.79% ( -0.18) | 25.21% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.05% ( -0.25) | 59.95% ( 0.25) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( 0.03) | 29.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% ( 0.03) | 65.44% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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