Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.