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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo
AC Milan
2 - 0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
Diaz (55'), Tonali (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cuadrado (26'), Kean (90+4'), Paredes (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Juventus

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Maccabi Haifa
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Juventus

 Milan and Juventus are two of the three teams to have lost the fewest Serie A matches in 2022 - and they could not be split in either of their meetings last term. Only twice before have they drawn three times in a row, but such a result could be on the cards as the champions are still weakened by numerous injuries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
61.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.41% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 16.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.26% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.65%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)80.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 61.55%
    Juventus 16.02%
    Draw 22.4%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.02%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
55.5%
Draw
14.8%
Juventus
29.7%
182
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus

Leao (12'), Messias (42')

Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
Jul 7, 2020 8.45pm
AC Milan
4-2
Juventus
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519
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