Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
43% | 23.6% | 33.41% |
Both teams to score 62.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.39% | 39.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.04% | 61.96% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% | 18.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% | 50.17% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% | 23.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.49% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
> Serie A Full Table |