Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.