MX23RW : Monday, January 15 03:08:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Rio Ave
Benfica
4 - 2
Rio Ave
Ramos (13', 45+1'), Luiz (19' og.), Musa (62')
Musa (58')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ronaldo (6'), Rodrigues (86')
Costinha (60'), Amaral (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Rio Ave

While Rio Ave will be looking to build on their victory over Santa Clara, they go up against a Benfica side who are unbeaten in their last 21 games across all competitions. We predict that Benfica will take the positives from their draw with Paris Saint-Germain to claim a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawRio Ave
73.76% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 15.61% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 10.62% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.94% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.86% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)33.14% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.11% (-0.191 -0.19)54.89% (0.192 0.19)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)7.69% (0.0551 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (-0.142 -0.14)27.41% (0.143 0.14)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43% (-0.064 -0.06)41.57% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)78.06% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 73.76%
    Rio Ave 10.62%
    Draw 15.62%
BenficaDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 10.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 73.76%
1-1 @ 7.2% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.62%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 10.62%

How you voted: Benfica vs Rio Ave

Benfica
91.4%
Draw
5.7%
Rio Ave
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2021 7pm
Oct 18, 2020 8pm
Rio Ave
0-3
Benfica

Pinto (81')
Waldschmidt (6', 45+4'), Gabriel (84')
Gilberto (78'), Otamendi (80'), Weigl (90+2')
Jun 17, 2020 9.15pm
Rio Ave
1-2
Benfica
Taremi (26')
Elmusrati (13'), Figueiras (80')
Elmusrati (62'), Santos (72'), Figueiras (90+2')
Seferovic (64'), Weigl (87')
Pizzi (45+3'), Dias (74')
Jan 14, 2020 9.15pm
Benfica
3-2
Rio Ave
Cervi (13'), Seferovic (64', 71')
Dias (3')
Piazon (4'), Taremi (30')
Augusto (21'), Lopes (51')
Nov 2, 2019 6pm
Benfica
2-0
Rio Ave
Dias (32'), Pizzi (51')
Cervi (29')

Aderlan (35'), Santos (45'), Tarantini (63')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica17133135112442
3Porto17122325121338
4Braga17103440251533
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9BoavistaBoavista175572631-520
10Casa Pia175481823-519
11Estrela Amadora174671824-618
12PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
13Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente174492731-416
16Rio AveRio Ave173681928-915
17Vizela172781627-1113
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!