Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Santa Clara | 6 | -3 | 4 |
16 | Famalicao | 5 | -5 | 4 |
17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 5 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 |
3 | Porto | 5 | 8 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
18.86% | 22.54% | 58.6% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( 0) | 47.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% ( 0) | 69.59% ( 0) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.92% ( 0) | 39.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.21% ( 0) | 75.8% ( 0) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.16% ( 0) | 15.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.98% ( 0) | 45.03% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.82% 2-1 @ 5.04% 2-0 @ 2.73% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.86% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 1% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 11.4% 0-2 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-4 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.1% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.24% Total : 58.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
2 | Porto | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 14 | 35 | 51 |
3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 44 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 37 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
11 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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