Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
18.78% | 22.25% | 58.96% |
Both teams to score 52.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% | 46.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.45% | 68.55% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.48% | 38.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.73% | 75.26% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% | 15.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.91% | 44.09% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.64% 2-1 @ 5.04% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.78% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 11.07% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-4 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.9% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
2 | Porto | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 14 | 35 | 51 |
3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 44 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 37 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
11 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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