Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
