Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.