Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
43.8% | 24.81% | 31.39% |
Both teams to score 57.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54% | 46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% | 68.3% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% | 21.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.15% | 53.85% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% | 27.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% | 63.33% |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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