Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.