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Ajax
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Emmen
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FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
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PSV
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PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
Ajax
PSV
3 - 0
Ajax
de Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
Sangare (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (7'), Rulli (52'), Berghuis (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-3 PSV
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Emmen
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax

Considering at least three goals have been scored in each of the last six meetings between the two teams, an entertaining contest is set to take place on Sunday, with both sides seeking to end the weekend in second place. PSV will be regarded as slight favourites being on home soil and having won the last three encounters with Ajax, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to pick up a point at the Philips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
44.14% (-0.277 -0.28) 21.44% (0.041 0.04) 34.41% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 70.86% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.54% (-0.137 -0.14)28.45% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.69% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)49.3% (0.165 0.16)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)13.88% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)41.29% (0.287 0.29)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)17.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.076000000000001 0.08)48.38% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 44.14%
    Ajax 34.41%
    Draw 21.44%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.41%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
58.7%
Draw
23.9%
Ajax
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Obispo (34')
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
Final
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 18
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
gameweek 9
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFeyenoord34257281305182
2PSV EindhovenPSV34236589404975
3Ajax34209586384869
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34207768353367
5FC Twente341810666273964
6Sparta RotterdamSparta34178960372359
7FC UtrechtUtrecht34159105550554
8Heerenveen341210124450-646
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk34118155064-1441
10Vitesse341010144550-540
11Go Ahead Eagles341010144656-1040
12NECNijmegen34815114245-339
13Fortuna SittardSittard34106183962-2336
14FC VolendamVolendam34106184271-2936
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3495203271-3932
16EmmenEmmen34610183365-3228
RCambuur3454252669-4319
RGroningen3446243175-4418

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

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