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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PSV Eindhoven win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
19.16% | 20.22% | 60.63% |
Both teams to score 59.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.61% | 36.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.48% | 58.52% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% | 32.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% | 68.83% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.34% | 11.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.27% | 36.73% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.17% 1-0 @ 4.26% 2-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.16% | 1-1 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 7.04% 0-3 @ 6.23% 2-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 3.78% 0-4 @ 3.35% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.44% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.49% Total : 60.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 38 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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