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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
30.79% | 22.8% | 46.41% |
Both teams to score 63.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.14% | 36.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.97% | 59.03% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% | 23.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% | 57.73% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.68% | 16.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.09% | 45.91% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.86% 3-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 5.52% 2-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.65% Total : 46.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 28 |
3 | Feyenoord | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 27 |
4 | FC Twente | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 26 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 23 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Heerenveen | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 17 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 13 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Vitesse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Cambuur | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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