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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
15.42% | 19.1% | 65.48% |
Both teams to score 55.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.05% | 37.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.8% | 60.2% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% | 37.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.71% | 74.28% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.15% | 10.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.06% | 34.93% |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.35% 1-0 @ 3.99% 2-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.42% | 1-1 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.83% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.1% | 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 9.03% 0-3 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 7.29% 0-4 @ 4.13% 1-4 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 3.58% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-5 @ 1.83% 1-5 @ 1.8% Other @ 4.47% Total : 65.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
2 | Ajax | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 52 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 |
5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 40 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 20 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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