Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
