Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen
1 - 1
PSV
We said: Heerenveen 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
PSV have been prone to the odd horror-show this season, but they have been impressive in recent weeks and should have enough to take all three points from this one, ending a decade-long hoodoo at this stadium in the process despite their attacking absentees. Heerenveen will hope that last weekend's win gets them back on track, but a visit from one of the 'big three' is the last thing they needed to follow that triumph up. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-0 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 17.83% | 20.99% | 61.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
