Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
