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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
66.24% | 19.94% | 13.82% |
Both teams to score 48.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% | 45.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% | 67.6% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.23% | 12.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.93% | 39.07% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.72% | 44.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.65% | 80.36% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 11.97% 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 6.69% 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.01% Total : 66.23% | 1-1 @ 9.48% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.94% | 0-1 @ 4.61% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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