Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.09%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
