Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for NEC had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
