MX23RW : Monday, March 13 00:46:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
Emmen
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Jan 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Excelsior
1 - 4
Ajax
El Yaakoubi (36')
Driouech (59')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tadic (15' pen.), Klaassen (45'), Kudus (61'), Rensch (83')
Alvarez (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Excelsior
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Volendam
Thursday, January 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Ajax

Off the back of an underwhelming run of results, Ajax simply cannot afford to drop any more points at the moment, making this weekend's clash a must-win for them. We are backing the Dutch giants to rise up to the occasion and carry the day at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-3 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAjax
10.65% (-0.44 -0.44) 14.41% (-0.167 -0.17) 74.94% (0.608 0.61)
Both teams to score 59.47% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.38% (-0.505 -0.5)26.62% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.99% (-0.645 -0.64)47.01% (0.646 0.65)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-1.114 -1.11)36.74% (1.115 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (-1.131 -1.13)73.53% (1.133 1.13)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.15% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)22.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 10.65%
    Ajax 74.94%
    Draw 14.41%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.11% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-0 @ 2.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 1.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 10.65%
1-1 @ 6.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.2% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 14.41%
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 8.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 8.18% (0.247 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.192 0.19)
1-4 @ 5.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 5.76% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 4.1% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-5 @ 3.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 3.24% (0.096 0.1)
2-4 @ 2.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-5 @ 1.63% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-6 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-6 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 74.94%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Ajax

SBV Excelsior
15.6%
Draw
12.5%
Ajax
71.9%
32
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 7pm
Ajax
7-1
Excelsior
Sanchez (15'), Berghuis (26'), Brobbey (44', 59'), Tadic (65'), Bergwijn (75'), Kudus (81')
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Ajax
6-2
Excelsior
Huntelaar (10', 40', 65'), Tadic (37', 60' pen.), Dolberg (75')
Mazraoui (4'), Ekkelenkamp (84')
El Hamdaoui (42'), Fortes (89')
Fortes (32'), Koolwijk (43'), El Hamdaoui (49')
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-7
Ajax
Messaoud (52')
Fortes (25'), Haspolat (25'), Matthys (43')
Van de Beek (31', 48'), Schone (44'), Dolberg (58'), Schouten (71' og.), Ziyech (79'), Neres (87')
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
Ajax
De Ligt (20' og.)
Kluivert (48'), Dolberg (53' pen.)
Dec 14, 2017 7.45pm
Ajax
3-1
Excelsior
De Jong (23'), Dolberg (57' pen.), Ziyech (86')
Veltman (39')
Van Duinen (40')
Koolwijk (6'), Fortes (45'), Faik (57'), de Wijs (59'), van Duinen (86')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord25177156233358
2Ajax25167270254555
3AZ AlkmaarAZ25165451282353
4PSV EindhovenPSV25164566303652
5FC Twente25128542212144
6Sparta RotterdamSparta25127639271243
7FC UtrechtUtrecht2510874139238
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk248883937232
9NECNijmegen2561363225731
10Heerenveen2587102936-731
11Fortuna SittardSittard2585123144-1329
12Go Ahead Eagles2468103443-926
13Vitesse2558122945-1623
14FC VolendamVolendam2565142955-2623
15EmmenEmmen2549122343-2021
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior2562172160-3920
17Groningen2545162550-2517
18Cambuur2544171945-2616

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