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Go Ahead Eagles
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Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Excelsior
Sparta
1 - 0
Excelsior
Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Duinen (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 0-0 Sparta
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-0 Groningen
Sunday, January 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 SBV Excelsior

SBV Excelsior have struggled on their travels, while Sparta Rotterdam have managed to win five of their eight home games this season. We think the hosts will edge this one, and the Kralingers' troubles on the road will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
48.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.46% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 48.4%
    SBV Excelsior 26.89%
    Draw 24.7%
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: Sparta vs Excelsior

Sparta Rotterdam
86.7%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002322121
2FC Twente76011441018
3Feyenoord75202662017
4AZ AlkmaarAZ65101631316
5Sparta RotterdamSparta632197211
6Go Ahead Eagles73131315-210
7SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior6231121029
8Fortuna SittardSittard62317709
9Heracles62221012-28
10Ajax62221012-28
11NECNijmegen6213111107
12PEC Zwolle6213610-47
13Heerenveen7205917-86
14RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7205716-96
15Almere CityAlmere City7115618-124
16Vitesse6105310-73
17FC UtrechtUtrecht7106416-123
18FC VolendamVolendam6015616-101

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