Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United Women.